Good job
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Theres is no such thing as luck when it comes to anything digitally (online games, websites or casino machines irl) the only luck is truly found in mechanical stuff which at most are set to reward one in a SET value of tries (example 1 in 500) Anything digitally can be so easyly coded and set that "true" luck does not exist. I never believed in that. I saw random times throuout the years when the same person won 2 times in a row the same weapon from the same crate (mainly GP crates). If you want to call that "luck" then you can also call that inside that crate's odds there was one setting which allowed it to reward multiple times in a row since it happen many many times.
Below I have a screenshot dated 25th may 2017 which made things even worse for what I believed. Here is the amazing BM luck system reward players 2 weapons from DIFFERENT ZP crates. Unless they found some exploit then its the broken "luck" algorythms of the crate system
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+1 .-.oSasuke*** wrote: »Yeah that's what I mean, if it's based on luck than I have one awful luck in the BM.Theres is no such thing as luck when it comes to anything digitally (online games, websites or casino machines irl) the only luck is truly found in mechanical stuff which at most are set to reward one in a SET value of tries (example 1 in 500) Anything digitally can be so easyly coded and set that "true" luck does not exist. I never believed in that. I saw random times throuout the years when the same person won 2 times in a row the same weapon from the same crate (mainly GP crates). If you want to call that "luck" then you can also call that inside that crate's odds there was one setting which allowed it to reward multiple times in a row since it happen many many times.
Below I have a screenshot dated 25th may 2017 which made things even worse for what I believed. Here is the amazing BM luck system reward players 2 weapons from DIFFERENT ZP crates. Unless they found some exploit then its the broken "luck" algorythms of the crate system
Sigh.. I did say that, but GM kanadian said the algorithms make it all about luck..
That picture you attached tho.. my conspiracy theories are on the verge of coming back lol.. I did say it seems to be account based! some are winners some are absolutely not o.o
Who knows @_@ They should kinda "change" the system every now and then to avoid such thing.. Unless they do already and it's all about luck.. I'm so confused lolUnless they found some exploit then its the broken "luck" algorythms of the crate system -
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Egyptians still have higher winrates though, can't deny that
No they don't. There are many and i want to stress on MANY egyptian players that play CF and about 25% of those players win crates, it just so happens they all have similar names. -
master_mann wrote: »So are you going to boycott the lottery too, since people can win in 1 ticket yet others haven't won in hundreds?
You didn't win - Others did. You have the same chance of winning as everyone else, free crates or not.
It's not an "Issue".
It is an issue. I am 100% sure the black market doesn't work by luck. I have spent more than 10m GP on D.E Camo crate and won nothing. I opened 1 box on my friends account and won. Same goes for all the crates. Its not about luck, its just programmed in such a way. -
It is an issue. I am 100% sure the black market doesn't work by luck. I have spent more than 10m GP on D.E Camo crate and won nothing. I opened 1 box on my friends account and won. Same goes for all the crates. Its not about luck, its just programmed in such a way.
I spent around 3-4 million GP to win the A-bolt shotgun. I won the xm8 advanced in a single crate. Both times same account. It's luck. -
master_mann wrote: »I spent around 3-4 million GP to win the A-bolt shotgun. I won the xm8 advanced in a single crate. Both times same account. It's luck.
I buy what kanadian said, but again, how do you know your account is not programmed to win a xm8 but not to win the A-bolt!
You are trying to prove it without enough proof
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It is interesting when people win 2 guns in a row. I got the crate tycoon achievement but it doesn't seem to do anythingmaster_mann wrote: »Not true.
I got Burning Shot crates for free and won SR-25, so that's not true. I also got Sun Wukong crates free and won the AK, and whatever crates the AWM platinum came in, and got the AWM free as well. I've also paid and won guns in single crates too. I don't know if the M4 Patriot counts because I got that from crate tickets.
You mean the Zombie crates from the Canyon event? I won the Burning Shot from that crate. I also won the Sun Wutang.. interesting, makes you wonder if those crates had higher win chances then. -
it's so sad seeing people win 2 3 gun in one day same people win more than 3 weapon in week
about 4 months every time doing event , spin crates maybe more than 1000 crate zp can't win one gun
today i spin 30 TURTLE SHELL CRATE - 21 Summer Snowfall Crates - 10 Hexagon Crate no win -
Theres is no such thing as luck when it comes to anything digitally (online games, websites or casino machines irl) the only luck is truly found in mechanical stuff which at most are set to reward one in a SET value of tries (example 1 in 500) Anything digitally can be so easyly coded and set that "true" luck does not exist. I never believed in that. I saw random times throuout the years when the same person won 2 times in a row the same weapon from the same crate (mainly GP crates). If you want to call that "luck" then you can also call that inside that crate's odds there was one setting which allowed it to reward multiple times in a row since it happen many many times.
Below I have a screenshot dated 25th may 2017 which made things even worse for what I believed. Here is the amazing BM luck system reward players 2 weapons from DIFFERENT ZP crates. Unless they found some exploit then its the broken "luck" algorythms of the crate system'A wrote:Monteiro;4475167']
Do you know those players? Maybe they are GMs testing or something. It just looks odd since the guns come from different crates. I think most people buy 10 crates at a time and spin them all at once. So people win a gun and then go hurry up and buy a different random crate to win again? Is that the trick? But then that doesn't explain people winning a bunch from the same blazewing crates.
Then the other screenshot... so someone wins the kukri from the noble beast crate and then right away opens some summer gold crates? Looks like someone does know the algorithms. Maybe they are Chinese players that have cracked it. They are usually crazy smart so wouldn't be surprised if they know the pattern. And every algorithm can be broken even if takes years.
I always thought what was in the crates was already picked the moment you bought or got the crates in inventory (like a scratch off lottery, the moment you have it but you don't know if you win till you scratch or open it)? Does anyone know for sure? -
I buy what kanadian said, but again, how do you know your account is not programmed to win a xm8 but not to win the A-bolt!
You are trying to prove it without enough proof
And your trying to prove accounts are programmed to win certain crates? Thats the funniest thing I have heard. -
I buy what kanadian said, but again, how do you know your account is not programmed to win a xm8 but not to win the A-bolt!
You are trying to prove it without enough proof
You also can't prove it's programmed. Let's say inside a bag there are 100 coins, one gold coin and the rest are fake. You put your hand inside the bag and pick out a fake coin. The next time you redraw from the bag, you have to put that fake coin back in. You could literally have someone draw 1,000 times, and never hit that 1% to get the gold coin (although rare). That's just how random probability works - it's not because it was "rigged" - the person could have won the gold coin (or A-bolt) each time, they just didn't land on that 1%.
Of course, when you keep opening crates, eventually you'll get the gold coin (*cough 2.2k CAD worth*). -
Do you know those players? Maybe they are GMs testing or something. It just looks odd since the guns come from different crates. I think most people buy 10 crates at a time and spin them all at once. So people win a gun and then go hurry up and buy a different random crate to win again? Is that the trick? But then that doesn't explain people winning a bunch from the same blazewing crates.
Then the other screenshot... so someone wins the kukri from the noble beast crate and then right away opens some summer gold crates? Looks like someone does know the algorithms. Maybe they are Chinese players that have cracked it. They are usually crazy smart so wouldn't be surprised if they know the pattern. And every algorithm can be broken even if takes years.
I always thought what was in the crates was already picked the moment you bought or got the crates in inventory (like a scratch off lottery, the moment you have it but you don't know if you win till you scratch or open it)? Does anyone know for sure?
Everything has a trick to it if youre realy into waisting time to figure out a pattern. And I'll support my point of view with an actual example. For a few months I was a mod on twitch on a NA streamer who was playing another FPS(he's retired now) You would get points for watching the chat and for being active in it. You would use those points whenever he was making weapon skin giveaways. I cant remember exactly which twitch raffle program he was using but the thing was this: I won plenty of times in those giveaways to the point where whenever I was entering, I knew for sure who would win. Why? Very simple. A giveaway would have a max number of tickets and each ticket costed a certain ammount of points. All I had to do was to wait for 2-3 people to enter with random small ammounts of tickets and then I would enter with HALF of the max number of tickets + 1 more. At the end I was the winner everytime. Probably if anyone would enter with max tickets I would lose but I only entered on smaller/cheaper skins with more tickets than what everyone else would want to spend on assuring me easy victory. Figuring a pattern took me alot of observation at how people were entering in the giveaways and who would win out of them.
tl;dr/ point of this: any luck based program CAN be figured out into a pattern if you put the time in it. I wish I had more than one example but that example alone is enough for me to strongly believe that virtual/digital luck is not actual luck, but more of a chance/doing something at the right moment.
further explanation on why virtual luck isnt obviously luck: The so called luck is nothing more but some text info written by someone. If the BM code has , ( this is just my assumption now on how BM works )lets say, 50 variations on how, when (time,server location,etc) and who (total money spent so far, total number of crates open, etc.) "all you have to do" is figure one of those combos (1/50) and you're in for the easy skins. The actual real-life luck thats not CODED BY ANYONE, cannot be influenced in any way, thats plain obvious, therefore thats the true luck. Example about coded luck is above ^
![A]Monteiro](https://wf.vanillicon.com/v2/f9533c87c28e43e112cbb64bf3a09215.svg)
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