kid figures the black market system

clanchat; "hey guys lets do some coordinated crate-opening and see who wins the most guns"

He had 5 million GP and opened 3 thousand crates.

or it took him 4 crates to win 4 guns

bound to happen eventually.

i've won two in less than 20 crates. 4 within a short amount of time allowing no-one else to win one in between is hardly unthinkable during slow hours.

Could still be plain luck, it doesnt have to be 4 in 4 crates at all, could be 4 in 10 crates aswell..

Ok then, what's the way ?

[MOD]dot wrote: »

i've won two in less than 20 crates. 4 within a short amount of time allowing no-one else to win one in between is hardly unthinkable during slow hours.

So it's better to open crates when people all are logged off ?

TheDsDevil wrote: »

So it's better to open crates when people all are logged off ?

I guess it's more likely the other way around. If the chances to win the main prize are like 1 to 1000 then if noone is on you could have to open 1000 crates to win one, but if many people are on you could just have to open 1 to get one as others already missed 999 times.
But to prove this we would have to know how bm works, as long as we don't it's just guessing.

Hurki wrote: »

I know the secret too... i won 3 weapons within 2 minutes :cool:

^^

Then, what is it ?

It baffles me that it is allowed to discuss how you or others crack open the bm system xd
As long there is no solid proof there is nothing to discuss really

Demoniite wrote: »

If anyone's close to crack the system, it's Exploit.

damn you exploit.

[MOD]Frecklez wrote: »

There is a whole range of possibilities here, but someone figuring something out that doesn't exist isn't one of them.

How many ZP do they pay you to keep saying that? There simply MUST be an algorithm behind the whole BM system. In the easiest case, it would be an algorithm that is like flipping a coin once (this would have a 50:50 chance of winning). Obviously, this is not the case here.
This means that the algorithm is just a bit more complicated. However, it CANNOT be totally random (just so complex that the decisions [=winning the main price] may seem random to the human eye). Therefore, there must be a certain chance of winning, even if it is VERY complicated to determine the exact chance or the requirements for it...

best regards,
Urkel

Urkel2005 wrote: »

How many ZP do they pay you to keep saying that? There simply MUST be an algorithm behind the whole BM system. In the easiest case, it would be an algorithm that is like flipping a coin once (this would have a 50:50 chance of winning). Obviously, this is not the case here.
This means that the algorithm is just a bit more complicated. However, it CANNOT be totally random (just so complex that the decisions [=winning the main price] may seem random to the human eye). Therefore, there must be a certain chance of winning, even if it is VERY complicated to determine the exact chance or the requirements for it...

best regards,
Urkel

You can flip a coin three times and it land on heads all 3 times, chance is a measurement of something that cannot be measured. Also, the bm is random enough to anger me at least lol. I don't think forum mods are bribed btw. Yes there is an algorithm, just like diablo 2(old ass game, plx don't infract me :c)drop system, and it is random to an extent.

no computer algorithmic is complete random, its csc 171. That being said, its random enough that humans cannot tell the difference. You typically have to seed a built in function and each seed produces a set of results. So they most likely stack seeds to get random within a random generator.

http://docs.python.org/library/random.html

(a example that a algo is not 100% random since i know most people don't study the field)

aka, there is a not so random factor in the black market.