Black Market Crate Probability Experiment

StyxAlt · January 2010

Um. 140? I think I did it right

CSprung · January 2010

i spent
90 crates on m4a1 custom no win got it with coupons
m16 camo 5
tompson 187
de-c 280 and no win but seen it 4 times

UK]Dave · January 2010

do you not read terms and conditios when signing up the odds of winning are exactly 1-90 it even says lol

iM4AtChu · January 2010

deaglecamo - 10
anaconda-adv - 30
akscope - 1

NipXe · January 2010

Deagle Camo -218 crates
AWM Xmas - 154 and did't get it.

[MOD]Rex · January 2010

nothin yet, randomness ftw

tomtom12121 · January 2010

Prize Won:2 kriss super V and thomspon
Number Of Crates Taken: for kriss super V =2 crates and tommy 1st crate :P

[Andre] · January 2010

Deagle-C ~5th crate
Anaconda-Adv ~130th crate
Thompson ~20th crate

cfplayer2 · January 2010

Winchester = 80
Thompson = 30
Aug-Camo = 20
DE-C = 500 and going (not got it yet)

headcrazy1oo · January 2010

Thompson 83rd on 85. Sorry its all I got yet

Tifereth · January 2010

Thompson - 16.
Anaconda Advance - 17.
Camo Aug - 35.
Camo Deagle - 500+ (1st) 1 (2nd) 1(3rd)
M4C - 16.

.

ask4tristan · March 2010

30 Deagle Camo crates bought:
#27 was a Deagle camo
5 PSG (7 day)
4 FAMAS (7 day)
A few other useless things and such. I just thought I'd point out that I got a crap ton of PSGs and FAMASs in case anyone wanted to know the stats of those.

Vaibe · March 2010

After about 100 M4-C crates I decided to try something else, so I bought 10 Ak Scope crates and won it on the fifth crate.

imBODACIOUS · March 2010

i waisted over 150k zp on black market and dint get a zp weapon yet, over 400k gp in the anaconda adv and dint get it, but:

i got the deagle camo in 2 crates

artmx · March 2010

aug-C got in 4

bluregard199 · March 2010

ak scope 2 crate
xm8 adv crate num 25

BlindDreams · March 2010

dec got it in my 250

Trolololz · March 2010

kriss 30
m4-custom 40
ak-scope 6
d-camo (fail) over 120k gp spent and nothing, i got it in coupons

ibekillinyou · March 2010

Aug Camo - ~220
Deagle Camo - ~750
Kriss - ~170
M4A1C - ~80

mRCcccc · March 2010

dude, i spend like 800 creats and got only 3 d-c.....

Ntrer1cal · March 2010

Desert Eagle Camo: 3 Crates :]

Bhekifa · March 2010

Aug Camo 1st crate
Ak Scope 3rd crate
Witches Hat 5th crate
M4 30-50th crate
Degal Camo 16th crate
Winchester 70-100th crate.

EmperorLulu · March 2010

XM8-Adv was roughly 56 or 66 crates

Trixity · March 2010

M4C 7 crates
DEC 3 crates
Ana Adv 4 crates
Winchest 1st crate

AWish · March 2010

Thompson 6 crates

Torokesou · March 2010

M4A1-C: 121 crates
M60-Adv: 110 crates
AK-Scope: 27 crates
(Bought kriss with coupons, put over 150 into it and just decided meh)
Aug-C: 200 or so
D.E.-C: First one took around 170, second one took around another 200+.
Anaconda Adv: 29 crates
Winchester: 16 crates
Thompson: 48 crates
M16S-C: 80 crates
XM8-Adv: 147 crates

~Nonaka

zyphh · March 2010

Prize Won: M4A1-Custom
Number Of Crates Taken: 1

Prize Won: Thompson
Number Of Crates Taken: 42

Prize Won: Winchester
Number Of Crates Taken: 48 (6?) (had 8 crates left after thompson and got this...)

and one of my friends got:

Prize Won: XM8-Adv
Number Of Crates Taken: 2

MrFin · March 2010

xm8 adv in 30 crates, and I know my LT got awm xmas in 4

Rolleym · March 2010

i really like your idea and the way that you are carrying out this so, firstly you deserve a big thanks and a pat on the back for doing this. i am sure the whole community will thank you if this turns out to be a fruitful investigation.

i don't know much about programming, but i am learning and use a bit of Visual basic, and when i am using random statements, even if i have a counter to weight the results, i use the "randomize" statement that uses the system clock as a benchmark to make theresult truly random.
this may or may not be the starting point you're looking for.
any corrections are welcome :P

mat

JustPlsQ_Q · March 2010

Aug camo - 2
Winchester - 7
Kriss - 3
M4 custom - 7
Thompson - 10
Desert eagle camo - 32
Seeing result of other guys, i guess am pretty lucky

Black Market Crate Probability Experiment

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