WCG CF #4 Bracket Predictions Round 1

doop51
doop51
in CF Competitive Forum
http://us.wcg.com/?page=stem_schedule&stageid=4180
Maps: Mexico; Factory

Instinct vs LL.USA

Ins: James Jaime KimKyung-Jin Pablo Leapy-
LL.USA: mickeyes, brando, hobnasty, monstar, naos

Players to Watch: KimKyung-Jin Brando

LPK recently played LL.USA in WOGL-P last week on mexico. LPK won the match 13-11. This does show some good things for LL.USA. LPK is pretty good on mexico, and it is definitely one of their stronger maps. There is one catch however, LPK played without myself. I don’t know how much of an impact I would have had if I had been there for the match, but I also do not think that LL.USA had all of their roster there either. The fact that LL.USA was busy playing wcg maps, and went into the WOGL-P match with 0 practice on mexico and still won a half speaks a lot of their development as a team. Instinct definitely seems to be the community favorites. They have already secured the support of legendary players such as myawm. Kinda funny that myawm prefers Instinct to his old teammates in LL.USA. Instinct seems to play amazing against us, and then I get reports from other players that they “aren’t good”. It makes me wonder how overrated LPK is, and how good is Instinct actually. If we look at the wogl rankings LL.USA is ranked higher than both LPK and Instinct. I don’t know how motivated Instinct is to play wogl and wcg. KimKyung always seems to go huge when we play instinct on mexico. His AK will definitely be a big problem for LL.USA on both sides. I do think Instincts lack of a dedicated sniper could harm them. Leapy and KimKyung are both proficient, but I feel they are better rifles than they are scopes. I think both teams will win their GR side, but I feel that Instinct will have a better BL side than LL.USA

Ins > LL.USA 16-13

do work son vs facedown

dws: minty ghandi bad mav shook
fDN: dac, jkeith, rpbigL, drenner, Erick

Players to Watch: minty dac

This match is tough to call. Minty’s team hasn’t played since there last WCG match, and I don’t forsee them playing by the time matches start tomorrow. Mexico is one of the harder maps to straight up pug, so this puts dws at a disadvantage. I don’t think it will be that big of a factor, since they have tons of experience on their roster. It will still be an advantage in the favor of fdN. Facedown has been relatively inactive due to people having “life” outside of cf. I am not sure what this life thing is, but I will do my best to try to understand. The map is mexico, and having previously played facedown on mexico, their performance was pretty average. They managed to play standard, but they never really excelled at a certain part. They were able to do most things as well as us, but in some spots it wasn’t even close. On the other hand, Minty pretty much embarrassed the old LPK on stage at WEM. On raw talent I would have to give this match to dws. On recent results, you have to lean towards facedown. I think with the recent news that they are not out of WOGL-P playoffs, and are rated higher than LPK and Instinct, it could light a new motivation for them to play out this qualifier and WOGL-P. I really think dren will be the weakest link for fdN. If dren does at least decent, his team should be able to pick up the slack.

fdN > dws 15-12

I am not doing lower bracket predictions, because it is only speculation on which teams will be there. I will however do predictions for both matches on Thursday. I hope to have the finals prediction up before the match goes live.
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