Black Market Coupon info for your benefit
I started counting my GP crates today 400 crates ago, and when I started counting them I also decided to keep track of how many coupons I won. Here is what I found:
Some notes before the basic statistical analysis:
-The crates were a mix of XM8-Adv, P90 Camo, AK-47 Camo, M16S-C, Anaconda-Adv and Aug-C.
-I bought 400 crates (as stated above).
-I won the AK-47 Camo during this little... experiment at the lack of a better word.
My findings:
With 400 crates, I won 17 coupons. If I bought only groups of 10 (which I did), that would mean:
-Each coupon costs about 37700gp (excluding the gp you get from the crates so it is a bit less than this, I would say about 28000gp per coupon but that is just my opinion I didn't do any research to back it up)
-You have about a 4.25% chance of winning a coupon from GP crates.
An interesting note:
I noticed as I was spinning for Aug-Camo crates that I was getting coupons a lot faster than with the other crates. I calculated that:
Out of 90 of the Aug-Camo crates (that I already included above), I won 7 coupons (also included above).
That means:
-Each coupon from the aug-Camo costed about 20500gp.
-You have about a 7.78% chance of winning a coupon from Aug-Camo crates.
Compare the general gp cost and percentage to this one, and you'll see with the Aug-Camo crates you're 1.83 times more likely to get a coupon. I could figure out what the general coupon percentage and price are excluding the aug-camo crates, but i think that's a little redundant and you can get the picture.
A final note:
I noticed after that the Aug-Camo has gp before coupons in the rarity list or whatever you would like to call it that you can see when you're about to purchase crates. There are a few other gp guns with this aswell, perhaps I didn't notice that they too have a higher percentage, but it's possible.
Some notes before the basic statistical analysis:
-The crates were a mix of XM8-Adv, P90 Camo, AK-47 Camo, M16S-C, Anaconda-Adv and Aug-C.
-I bought 400 crates (as stated above).
-I won the AK-47 Camo during this little... experiment at the lack of a better word.
My findings:
With 400 crates, I won 17 coupons. If I bought only groups of 10 (which I did), that would mean:
-Each coupon costs about 37700gp (excluding the gp you get from the crates so it is a bit less than this, I would say about 28000gp per coupon but that is just my opinion I didn't do any research to back it up)
-You have about a 4.25% chance of winning a coupon from GP crates.
An interesting note:
I noticed as I was spinning for Aug-Camo crates that I was getting coupons a lot faster than with the other crates. I calculated that:
Out of 90 of the Aug-Camo crates (that I already included above), I won 7 coupons (also included above).
That means:
-Each coupon from the aug-Camo costed about 20500gp.
-You have about a 7.78% chance of winning a coupon from Aug-Camo crates.
Compare the general gp cost and percentage to this one, and you'll see with the Aug-Camo crates you're 1.83 times more likely to get a coupon. I could figure out what the general coupon percentage and price are excluding the aug-camo crates, but i think that's a little redundant and you can get the picture.
A final note:
I noticed after that the Aug-Camo has gp before coupons in the rarity list or whatever you would like to call it that you can see when you're about to purchase crates. There are a few other gp guns with this aswell, perhaps I didn't notice that they too have a higher percentage, but it's possible.
Comments
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BowDownToMe wrote: »I started counting my GP crates today 400 crates ago, and when I started counting them I also decided to keep track of how many coupons I won. Here is what I found:
Some notes before the basic statistical analysis:
-The crates were a mix of XM8-Adv, P90 Camo, AK-47 Camo, M16S-C, Anaconda-Adv and Aug-C.
-I bought 400 crates (as stated above).
-I won the AK-47 Camo during this little... experiment at the lack of a better word.
My findings:
With 400 crates, I won 17 coupons. If I bought only groups of 10 (which I did), that would mean:
-Each coupon costs about 37700gp (excluding the gp you get from the crates so it is a bit less than this, I would say about 28000gp per coupon but that is just my opinion I didn't do any research to back it up)
-You have about a 4.25% chance of winning a coupon from GP crates.
An interesting note:
I noticed as I was spinning for Aug-Camo crates that I was getting coupons a lot faster than with the other crates. I calculated that:
Out of 90 of the Aug-Camo crates (that I already included above), I won 7 coupons (also included above).
That means:
-Each coupon from the aug-Camo costed about 20500gp.
-You have about a 7.78% chance of winning a coupon from Aug-Camo crates.
Compare the general gp cost and percentage to this one, and you'll see with the Aug-Camo crates you're 1.83 times more likely to get a coupon. I could figure out what the general coupon percentage and price are excluding the aug-camo crates, but i think that's a little redundant and you can get the picture.
A final note:
I noticed after that the Aug-Camo has gp before coupons in the rarity list or whatever you would like to call it that you can see when you're about to purchase crates. There are a few other gp guns with this aswell, perhaps I didn't notice that they too have a higher percentage, but it's possible.
u spent to much time on this didnt u? -
Neither of that is spam or trolling....There is a point to what they're saying and if that's trolling to you....well then you must be way too easily offended.
the first one was trolling, the second one was spamming
first was trolling because it had nothing to do with what i posted and was meant to try and make me mad
second was spamming because it was just random and he didn't connect it to the topic, really.
and don't try to argue with me that he did connect it to the topic, I will not pointlessly argue about that. -
this is not legit information.
y would u spend so much time doing this experiment. Its a total failure. because if u ask the devs. the code for wining bm guns probably goes like this
For Gp crates
5% chance winning permanet crate gun
85% chance winning sprays and 7 day items
10% chance winning coupons.
for zp crates
10% chance winning permanet crate gun
20% chance winning coupons
70% chance of winning sprays and 7 day items -
' wrote:Karl[;2284721']this is not legit information.
y would u spend so much time doing this experiment. Its a total failure. because if u ask the devs. the code for wining bm guns probably goes like this
For Gp crates
5% chance winning permanet crate gun
85% chance winning sprays and 7 day items
10% chance winning coupons.
for zp crates
10% chance winning permanet crate gun
20% chance winning coupons
70% chance of winning sprays and 7 day items
wow is all i have to say to you. -
BowDownToMe wrote: »the first one was trolling, the second one was spamming
first was trolling because it had nothing to do with what i posted and was meant to try and make me mad
second was spamming because it was just random and he didn't connect it to the topic, really.
and don't try to argue with me that he did connect it to the topic, I will not pointlessly argue about that.
The first one obviously made you mad so.....uMad?
The Second one, well it has something to do with the topic, as this topic is about crates and coupons. It's not like he posted something about marsh mellows and crayons.
Also if that's spam ^
Then what you're posting in reply to me must be spam? -
The first one obviously made you mad so.....uMad?
The Second one, well it has something to do with the topic, as this topic is about crates and coupons. It's not like he posted something about marsh mellows and crayons.
Also if that's spam ^
Then what you're posting in reply to me must be spam?
pretty sure anything that doesn't have to do with the topic is spam, so technically, yes. -
' wrote:Karl[;2284721']this is not legit information.
y would u spend so much time doing this experiment. Its a total failure. because if u ask the devs. the code for wining bm guns probably goes like this
For Gp crates
5% chance winning permanet crate gun
85% chance winning sprays and 7 day items
10% chance winning coupons.
for zp crates
10% chance winning permanet crate gun
20% chance winning coupons
70% chance of winning sprays and 7 day items
Wrong.
It's supposedly all randomised which I somewhat believe...I mean everyone gets different amounts of coupons in the crates they buy. Although you get more coupons in ZP crates easily, I doubt it is randomised.
Winning the gun perhaps is randomised?
They claim it is so....Who knows, until a dev confirms any of this, we're all wrong. It's all guesses.
But i'd say for coupons and name tags etc. that's what it'd be like ^ -
I bought 10 P90 Camo crates and got a coupon in all but 1. Plus, I won the camo on the 6th crate. You were saying something about a 4-5% chance?
are you people all this stupid?
this is based off of my experiment, unless the devs tell us what the exact chances are, people doing what i've done will be the best we can get, and the more people that do this the more we can narrow down the actual percentage.
and people wonder why the crossfire community sucks? why don't you take a look at yourselves, and back the fu** off. And yes, now I am mad. -
BowDownToMe wrote: »pretty sure anything that doesn't have to do with the topic is spam, so technically, yes.
Well don't ask for others to be infracted or anything, unless you yourself want 2380932409823094 infractions.
The Number above isn't serious, so don't come back quoting or quick replying me with some stupid answer. -
' wrote:Karl[;2284721']this is not legit information.
y would u spend so much time doing this experiment. Its a total failure. because if u ask the devs. the code for wining bm guns probably goes like this
For Gp crates
5% chance winning permanet crate gun
85% chance winning sprays and 7 day items
10% chance winning coupons.
for zp crates
10% chance winning permanet crate gun
20% chance winning coupons
70% chance of winning sprays and 7 day items
The % of winning the perm gun would be lower than that. xD -
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Are you fawking stupid? Your title says for our benefit, meaning you're saying this is for all of us. Meaning you're the fawking dumb ass here. Think before you speak, fool.
please inform me of how i'm "fawking stupid" by putting this benefits everyone in the title? -
You implied it by saying things such as, "-You have about a 4.25% chance of winning a coupon from GP crates."
read what i said beforeBowDownToMe wrote: »this is based off of my experiment, unless the devs tell us what the exact chances are, people doing what i've done will be the best we can get, and the more people that do this the more we can narrow down the actual percentage. -
Still implies that it is universal given the present circumstances. That is just my interpretation, although it might be different from your intention.
Oh, i was unaware that: "The more people that do this the more we can narrow down the actual percentage." implied that these were exact values. So sorry, I'll try to be clearer next time.
.
This discussion has been closed.
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