Do all the BM crates have the same likelihood of winning a perm?
Or do they all have the same chance? I think I noticed in the GP crates some seemed easier on others when I tried in alts. Am I just noticing random chance happening in the same pattern over and over and over? If not which crates have the most likelihood of giving a permanent gun?
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mobster700 wrote: »wow you guys are wrong : / its a ratio like theres a chance out of so many crates you open but the only way to be 100% is to get the exact ammount of the crate that is the ratio if you have the $$ for it that is.
Lol I wonder how many guns this kid has won... -
It's all about luck, but considering alot of things there is a probability to winning each and every crate gun. Z8games doesn't like alot of people winning guns but they give them a chance at winning it. People say luck, some say technique, I believe in both. I have Gatling Gun, Ak Scope, Kriss Super V, M4-Custom, Ak Knife, Beretta Ar-70, (x2) MSG90,(x2)XM8 Adv, Ak Camo, (x3) Deagle Camo, and AUG Camo. There is no coincidence that I could get all of these guns(some won by coupons). But there is a slight chance that it isn't just luck. I hit the same place for all my guns that I did win... so there might be a technique to it as well.
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Nothing about BM is proven,but its a fact that quite a few people state they bought 300+ GP crates to get the gun,whereas a lot of people win ZP Crates quickly without spending ridiculous amounts of money.How is this proven ?
But this might be due to the fact that a lot of won GP guns are not "celebrated" as much as a won perm ZP (new thread OMG I WON TEH KRISS LOOK AT ME YES YES) so really nobody knows
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JoshuaN1991 wrote: »Or do they all have the same chance? I think I noticed in the GP crates some seemed easier on others when I tried in alts. Am I just noticing random chance happening in the same pattern over and over and over? If not which crates have the most likelihood of giving a permanent gun?No, not all crates provide a similar chance at winning. Crates with more than one permanent item in it provide better chances.
My Suggestions: Ak-47 Custom Glock-18 Adv. M110 s.a.s.s. M4A1 Masterkey MAC 10 Suppressed XM110 Spec-ops -
mobster700 wrote: »wow you guys are wrong : / its a ratio like theres a chance out of so many crates you open but the only way to be 100% is to get the exact ammount of the crate that is the ratio if you have the $$ for it that is.
do you not get probability? if the chance of getting the gun is 1:100 (overestimate by far) and you buy 100 crates your chance of getting one is 1:10 then, not 1:1 and if you buy 200 then it's 1:5 but it will never be 1:1. i mean no offense, i just don't want noobs heads filled with sugar plums and lollipops while in reality it's barbed wire and salt
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WishMunzta wrote: »It's all random or z8 just h8s me.
Missing deagle xmas 2 times a row on the same place isnt funneh and after that i missed awp 3 times a row.. In my last 5 crates i missed deagle xmas again! It's all
well I see the xmas de all the time, it's supposed to be the easiest of the 4 to win. and it just shows how random/luck the crates are. i've won 2 ak xmas, xmas awm, xmas mp5 but it won't give me the de..wth is wrong with these crates. -
shadow54321 wrote: »do you not get probability? if the chance of getting the gun is 1:100 (overestimate by far) and you buy 100 crates your chance of getting one is 1:10 then, not 1:1 and if you buy 200 then it's 1:5 but it will never be 1:1. i mean no offense, i just don't want noobs heads filled with sugar plums and lollipops while in reality it's barbed wire and salt
I wish probability would work like that. Taking your 1:100 chance example :
If opening crates are independent events (which I think and hope it is), each time you open a crate, you'll have a 1:100 chance to get a perm weapon. That's it, the probability doesn't change.
It means that, on average, every 100 crates opened, you'll likely get a perm weapon, but it also means you could open as less as 10 or as much as 10,000 crates before winning one. You could even get 2 or 3 perm weapons on your first set of 100 crates opened.
If crates worked like a jar full of 100 marbles of which one contained the perm weapon, then removing one (and not replacing it) would result in the probability increasing (until you found that special marble ofc). But it's pretty obvious (and unfortunate) that it isn't the case.
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