Black Market probability

Sunslash · December 2010

Does anyone have the probability for winning a perm gun from the Black Market in 1 crate? not how many it took you, just a fraction

zyphh · December 2010

I won my M4Custom in 1 crate.

that?

KingstarKB · December 2010

Impossible to work out. Even though it's not 100% random.

But then again it depends, I won AM-RD with 1 crate my friend has spent a lot more and still doesn't have one.

ldle · December 2010

absolutely no idea although I think I got my m4 custom in like 25 crates ( got like 5 months ago and I don't play cf anymore -_- )

lbrettl · December 2010

About 5% for ZP guns and about 1-3 % for GP guns

tooI · December 2010

its the same thing as with online casino games.
the provider can manually set the percentage of hold they want to achieve for a certain time. most keep about 10% of all stakes e.g each month. those algorithm-based lottery programs all work the same way.

Hi_v7 · December 2010

lbrettl wrote: »

About 5% for ZP guns and about 1-3 % for GP guns

'

although you can't say the same about Xmas Crates.

JROCH1337 · December 2010

Are the Xmas Crates Bugged? ;o cause i spent 60000 ZP and i saw deagle xmas 19 times. are they bugged?

IGN: .excusezz-
Clan: #noDream

www.youtube.com/user/JR0ch

Sunslash · December 2010

heard that so many times in 5 different threads...i dont think theyre bugged, they have a higher probablility of winning but they show the good stuff out of proportion

AnthraxGaming · December 2010

SexyBabuzca wrote: »

Are the Xmas Crates Bugged? ;o cause i spent 60000 ZP and i saw deagle xmas 19 times. are they bugged?

IGN: .excusezz-
Clan: #noDream

www.youtube.com/user/JR0ch

lol excussez remember me
IGN: AnthraxGamin
we were clanmates!!

CFHrvat · December 2010

lbrettl wrote: »

About 5% for ZP guns and about 1-3 % for GP guns

I dont agree with you

Ads are like 1:100000 to win anything in 1st

lbrettl · December 2010

They are lower, but the percent to show it is high so people buy more zp cos "they almost got it" so they want it.

JROCH1337 · December 2010

AnthraxGaming wrote:

lol excussez remember me
IGN: AnthraxGamin
we were clanmates!!

Antrax !

disneyfan · December 2010

I guess each account has a different probability of winning. Although i don't buy much crates, my firend has gotten very lucky whit his crates for ZP. I persoannly have not seen any winning guns.

AnthraxGaming · December 2010

SexyBabuzca wrote: »

Antrax !

:P

msg2sexy

JROCH1337 · December 2010

Another Question if i save a crate of amazing xmas crates until the next patch i stay with it?

theHI · December 2010

The Black Market is completely all luck. You can't know what you're going to get, or what you're not going to get.

It's like gambling.

CallMeSoul · December 2010

as i recall both gp and zp crates are 1-100 im basing that as i NEVER actually WON a zp crate gun but won plenty of gp
and the christmas are 4-400 so its a little harder

MyAWM · December 2010

HiTenKaey wrote: »

The Black Market is completely all luck. You can't know what you're going to get, or what you're not going to get.

It's like gambling.

there is still a set probability just like the probability of getting a "1" on a roll of a fair die is 1/6. in this case, however, the algorithm is a lot more complicated considering the probabilities are different for each outcome and only the creators of the game know such information.

Black Market probability

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