Crate Weapon Droprate

LiekMudkipz · June 2010

I don't see anything like this around, so thought it would be interesting to figure out the odds of getting a crate weapon. I'll need quite a few replies for this to be successful.

Anyway, reply with which weapon, and how many crates it took to receive. I'll post the results when I get enough replies for it to be remotely correct.

theHI · June 2010

It's a lottery. Completely random and luck. Many people win anyhow.

LiekMudkipz · June 2010

Yes, I know that. However, there are odds, as a computer cannot be completely random.
It would be interesting to see what the 'odds' are.
Even the lottery has odds, doesn't mean you're going to win it in that amount.

theHI · June 2010

lCappy wrote: »

Yes, I know that. However, there are odds, as a computer cannot be completely random.
It would be interesting to see what the 'odds' are.
Even the lottery has odds, doesn't mean you're going to win it in that amount.

Gms have stated before. It is completely random and the number is not goig to be revealed. I won my AWM Xmas in one crate. My M4Custom in 50.

LiekMudkipz · June 2010

I think you're misunderstanding this. I'm not asking for a number to be revealed, I'm trying to figure the probability to getting one is. This works for random things. If it wasn't random, I'd be finding out how many crates it would take to definitely get it.
It isn't random, it's pseudo-random. Either there's a certain chance of getting it, which is totally unrelated to how many crates you've opened previously. Or it's based on multiple variables, such as time, amount of players on the server, player id etc.
It's most likely the first, as the second will have much lower odds normally. Either way, they have an odd.

EmperorLulu · June 2010

Actually, things can be completely random with no odds.
Get a scientific calculator. Press shift then . then =
Random number :O
Get the same number twice=about the same change as winning in BM

DeathEffects · June 2010

I have no idea how you plan to calculate that, but I say, it's not completely random, or we would get Deagle Scopes as much as we get FlashGuards.

I___NooBie · June 2010

not going to work you'd need everyone who has won something to post and thats not going to happen.

pointless thread its not like its gonna help anyways.

LiekMudkipz · June 2010

No, we only need a sample of people who've won them to post. About 50 or so would probably do.

HerolSihao · June 2010

The way I learned how to ALWAYS get guns from Black Market is watch the clock. Everyday the lottery winning time changes on crates. When someone won something in Black Market, just record that time, wait for the next ten minute and open it that time. I'm not sure how you understand this, but it always works for me. But the spinning part is the important part, you need luck on that.

sandwichROAR · June 2010

HerolSihao wrote: »

The way I learned how to ALWAYS get guns from Black Market is watch the clock. Everyday the lottery winning time changes on crates. When someone won something in Black Market, just record that time, wait for the next ten minute and open it that time. I'm not sure how you understand this, but it always works for me. But the spinning part is the important part, you need luck on that.

Then what about the people that win the same gun 3 times in a row?

KenzieG · June 2010

Thompson 8th Crate

Btw GUYS JUST GO WITH THE TOPIC AND HELP HIM GOSH....

I___NooBie · June 2010

DarkNightFal wrote: »

Btw GUYS JUST GO WITH THE TOPIC AND HELP HIM GOSH....

it is pointless it wont do sht.

moch_D · June 2010

dumb people... he is correct.
A computer cannot be 100% random.
GL with figuring out the odds, someone tried along time ago and quit.

BHMP · June 2010

its a 50/50 chance, either you get the gun or you don't.

SlurrayMoan · June 2010

AK47-Scope = 3rd Crate
Anaconda-Advance = 13th and 17th Crate
Desert Eagle-Camo = 15th Crate
Winchester/Thompson = More than 200 crates and still neither gun.

ChocDrizzle · June 2010

jsdfakljsfkl wrote: »

its a 50/50 chance, either you get the gun or you don't.

Are you stupid?
So if I buy 2 crates, I win? I don't think so.

2Guys1Bagel · June 2010

bought 10 D.E scope crates, won on 2nd and 10th crate. D.E camo on 1st.

platapierule · June 2010

AlessBallaz wrote: »

Are you stupid?
So if I buy 2 crates, I win? I don't think so.

Horribad logic. If you flip a coin twice, getting both a heads AND a tails is not guaranteed even though the chance of landing on either side is theoretically 50 percent.

K0lby · June 2010

As said a billion times, the Black Market is all luck.

There is an unknown ratio I do believe. I think it is 1/150 get the big weapon.

theHI · June 2010

We don't know. Only the GMs know the exact dead on odds.
That is the real answer.
I would say 1/100 , but people have tried and bought over 1m ZP on a gun and didn't get it.

sup_condom · June 2010

spent +600k on ak camo 2 hours opening crates

didnt get it, true story

sianxyz · June 2010

Winchester: 47th and 57th
Thompson: 86th (bought 150)
Aug-Camo: 51st (bought 100)
Anaconda Adv: 4th (bought 10)
Deagle camo: 43rd (bought 60)

TerriBull · June 2010

Anaconda adv. - 49th crate
Deagle Camo - 8th Crate
Thompson - 32nd crate

All I can remember at the moment..

Mitchapalooza · June 2010

Id say around 1/100. Most people seem to get in the first 100. Some right away, some more.

]Rascal · June 2010

SadJellopy wrote: »

AK47-Scope = 3rd Crate
Anaconda-Advance = 13th and 17th Crate
Desert Eagle-Camo = 15th Crate
Winchester/Thompson = More than 200 crates and still neither gun.

got the thompson in ten crates and dec in ten to

Crate Weapon Droprate

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