How to Increase your Success in Black Market
This thread is just about increasing your chances of winning a weapon or weapons in the Black Market (BM).
From my experience and analysis,BM is NOT entirely based on luck!
From my Speculation,there are TWO factors behind the BM i.e. Rank and the Time.
Rank:
The HIGHER the RANK the LOWER the chances of winning a gun.The LOWER the RANK the HIGHER the chances of winning a gun.With my new alternative account,I won Ak-47 Camo in just 3 crates,I won Winchester with just 2 crates,I won Barretta M93R with just 20 crates.
Whereas with my main account,it took me around 70 crates to win the same Barretta M93R.On top of that, I spent more than 100K on Ak-47 Camo crates and i still haven't won it.
There is a person with the username of "BOYLondon" he won Ak-47 camo,D.E. Camo and QBZ camo in just few hours of the same day.His rank is just Staff Sergeant level 1!
So if you have a High rank then your chances are low to win your gun in few crates.
Time:
I don't know whether anyone else mentioned this factor regarding BM before but i am quite certain that the time is the key factor behind the BM.
If you look at the BM statistics which appears in the game,you can easily see people winning the same guns in a row (2 or 3 times within 1 or 2 minutes). Why is that? Why the so called "LUCK" in BM is always share by 2 or 3 individuals?
Time of D.E Camo and Ak-47 Camo are interlinked. You can always see people winning Ak-47 camo and D.E Camo in a row. Time of Winchester and Thompson is also interlinked.
In short,The best way to win the guns in BM is to open your crates in DIFFERENT times.Don't spin your Crates in one go.There are some people who bought D.E canadian crates with more than 2 million GP and they didn't win the gun just because they spun the crates in one go.
Just spread the spinning of the crates over the different times of the day.E.g. Spin 10 crates in the morning,10 crates in the evening and 10 crates in the night. It will drastically increase your chances of winning a gun.I tried the same thing with my free Cop 357 Derringer crate.I spun my crate after the day of receiving it and i won the Cop 357 Derringer in just 1 crate.
Only Luck which is associated with the BM is that you spin your crate on the right time.
Another tip to increase your chances of winning is to change your IGN to Mido/Abdo/Ahmed/A7A. JK
From my experience and analysis,BM is NOT entirely based on luck!
From my Speculation,there are TWO factors behind the BM i.e. Rank and the Time.
Rank:
The HIGHER the RANK the LOWER the chances of winning a gun.The LOWER the RANK the HIGHER the chances of winning a gun.With my new alternative account,I won Ak-47 Camo in just 3 crates,I won Winchester with just 2 crates,I won Barretta M93R with just 20 crates.
Whereas with my main account,it took me around 70 crates to win the same Barretta M93R.On top of that, I spent more than 100K on Ak-47 Camo crates and i still haven't won it.
There is a person with the username of "BOYLondon" he won Ak-47 camo,D.E. Camo and QBZ camo in just few hours of the same day.His rank is just Staff Sergeant level 1!
So if you have a High rank then your chances are low to win your gun in few crates.
Time:
I don't know whether anyone else mentioned this factor regarding BM before but i am quite certain that the time is the key factor behind the BM.
If you look at the BM statistics which appears in the game,you can easily see people winning the same guns in a row (2 or 3 times within 1 or 2 minutes). Why is that? Why the so called "LUCK" in BM is always share by 2 or 3 individuals?
Time of D.E Camo and Ak-47 Camo are interlinked. You can always see people winning Ak-47 camo and D.E Camo in a row. Time of Winchester and Thompson is also interlinked.
In short,The best way to win the guns in BM is to open your crates in DIFFERENT times.Don't spin your Crates in one go.There are some people who bought D.E canadian crates with more than 2 million GP and they didn't win the gun just because they spun the crates in one go.
Just spread the spinning of the crates over the different times of the day.E.g. Spin 10 crates in the morning,10 crates in the evening and 10 crates in the night. It will drastically increase your chances of winning a gun.I tried the same thing with my free Cop 357 Derringer crate.I spun my crate after the day of receiving it and i won the Cop 357 Derringer in just 1 crate.
Only Luck which is associated with the BM is that you spin your crate on the right time.
Another tip to increase your chances of winning is to change your IGN to Mido/Abdo/Ahmed/A7A. JK
Comments
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its all luck....
JK I think it's rigged, Look at all the other versions like CF VN/CN you can literally win anygun in almost 25-50 crates MAX and then look at our version.. if they can change the win rates for different versions Im scared to know what else they could do to rig it. -
Nice theory, probably the best theory I have heard about winning in the black market.. You do have people who will believe those theories and you'll have those others who will believe what actually happens..
The black market is luck.. Pure luck.. Nothing more.. Nothing less.. Now, I know loads will disagree with me, and that's fine, but without real, solid evidence (I am not talking about screenshots which by coincidence match your theory), your theory stays a theory and not a fact.
I have had my own theory's about black market wins and shared them with friends, who don't believe me.. Some say luck does not exist and there is always a way to find out how something works, just like the Lottery..
Well.. Without ranting on with myself, I will just leave this link below..
http://forum.z8games.com/showthread.php?39663-Feeling-ripped-off-by-the-Black-Market -
You may be right about the rank, but the rest is rather garbage. There is indeed something about the time, it does depend on what time you spin what crate, but definitely not in the way you mentioned. Oh and there's also a lot of other criteria that need to be done in order to win a gun.
-
That's just a theory though...
Also, that would mean you can't increase your chances in the black market like your title suggests, since you can't level down (also the time thing is bogus, DE and AK camo come often because they're super popular crates). -
Buying ZP crates increases your chance of winning by the way...
i just bought a few a couple of days ago and went back to spin some DE-Camo crates (Which btw i've spun more than 500 of them) and i won it.
It's a freaking charm!
I will agree. I usually win GP guns after spinning some ZP crates. $$$
Happened with a few/half of my GP BM guns.
I used to spend all my GP on the Black Market when I was a noob, and my first win was around Lieutenant. Guess I was unlucky.....
I do agree that your rank does decrease your chances, because in 2014, there were many players, and you would always see noobs win the BM.
Higher ranks are more likely to spend money because they have chosen to play the game, and lower ranks are unpredictable.
When they win at a low rank, it makes them believe it's easier to win in the future, causing them to play more of the game, and when they are high ranks, they will want to spend because they believe in the mysterious win rate. It is easy money. -
"Computer generated random numbers have an underlying algorithm and are, as a result, never truly random. They are just a complex calculation to arrive at a result.
The programmers goal here is to make the calculation complex enough so that no one would be able to discern a pattern in the resulting numbers, hence making the numbers appear random"
The only "pattern" I see is when multiple people win the exact same gun at the same moment. Sometimes you see people with almost identical names win the same gun in the exact same second. Now, thats strange. -
Learn to accept it. It's a lottery, not a store. When you buy a crate, you are guaranteed NOTHING more than three random items. It is not a scam or a fraud. Many people are lucky enough to win the guns, many people are not. If you spend ridiculous amounts of money and win nothing, you have nobody to blame but yourself. Spend no more than you are willing to lose, and stop acting like spending large amounts of money entitles you to something other than what you got. You could spend hundreds of dollars on scratch tickets from a gas station, that doesn't entitle you to the jackpot any more than spending hundreds of dollars on crates does.
I guess that's that. -
The only logical theory that I saw here was about the rank one which could be true. One thing which has definitely changed for me is that the higher the rank I am, the more crates I have to spin to win a weapon.
Until you reach marshall. -
I didn't know before about the win rates for other versions are much better than this version O_o.Its shocking and now i know why D.E Canadian is hard to obtain.Cre8LvEDGAF wrote: »its all luck....
JK **** is rigged AF, Look at all the other versions like CF VN/CN you can literally win anygun in almost 25-50 crates MAX and then look at our version.. if they can change the win rates for different versions Im scared to know what else they could do to rig it.
Thanks. I respect your opinion and the message in the given link is 100% correct.claire9822 wrote: »Nice theory, probably the best theory I have heard about winning in the black market.. You do have people who will believe those theories and you'll have those others who will believe what actually happens..
The black market is luck.. Pure luck.. Nothing more.. Nothing less.. Now, I know loads will disagree with me, and that's fine, but without real, solid evidence (I am not talking about screenshots which by coincidence match your theory), your theory stays a theory and not a fact.
I have had my own theory's about black market wins and shared them with friends, who don't believe me.. Some say luck does not exist and there is always a way to find out how something works, just like the Lottery..
Well.. Without ranting on with myself, I will just leave this link below..
http://forum.z8games.com/showthread.php?39663-Feeling-ripped-off-by-the-Black-Market
However,I think that luck doesn't exist when it comes to things made by human hands.
Thanks for the reply. I agree with you that there must be some more criteria that needs to be meet in order to win a gun. I really think that the time is also a factor regarding the BM.You may be right about the rank, but the rest is rather garbage. There is indeed something about the time, it does depend on what time you spin what crate, but definitely not in the way you mentioned. Oh and there's also a lot of other criteria that need to be done in order to win a gun.
As you won much more BM weapons than me of course you have better understanding of BM than me.
Yeah,its indeed a theory. I clearly mentioned that its a speculation by my side. It is possible that the time thing may be bogus. Your condescension towards me is very demeaning.That's just a theory though...
Also, that would mean you can't increase your chances in the black market like your title suggests, since you can't level down (also the time thing is bogus, DE and AK camo come often because they're super popular crates).
I've heard about it before too. Its highly plausible that's the case.Buying ZP crates increases your chance of winning by the way...
i just bought a few a couple of days ago and went back to spin some DE-Camo crates (Which btw i've spun more than 500 of them) and i won it.
It's a freaking charm!
True!GarrisonRG wrote: »I will agree. I usually win GP guns after spinning some ZP crates. $$$
Happened with a few/half of my GP BM guns.
I used to spend all my GP on the Black Market when I was a noob, and my first win was around Lieutenant. Guess I was unlucky.....
I do agree that your rank does decrease your chances, because in 2014, there were many players, and you would always see noobs win the BM.
Higher ranks are more likely to spend money because they have chosen to play the game, and lower ranks are unpredictable.
When they win at a low rank, it makes them believe it's easier to win in the future, causing them to play more of the game, and when they are high ranks, they will want to spend because they believe in the mysterious win rate. It is easy money.
I really hope there is a way to find out the truth behind the BM."Computer generated random numbers have an underlying algorithm and are, as a result, never truly random. They are just a complex calculation to arrive at a result.
The programmers goal here is to make the calculation complex enough so that no one would be able to discern a pattern in the resulting numbers, hence making the numbers appear random"
The only "pattern" I see is when multiple people win the exact same gun at the same moment. Sometimes you see people with almost identical names win the same gun in the exact same second. Now, thats strange.
I agree with this statement.Exiledking63 wrote: »Learn to accept it. It's a lottery, not a store. When you buy a crate, you are guaranteed NOTHING more than three random items. It is not a scam or a fraud. Many people are lucky enough to win the guns, many people are not. If you spend ridiculous amounts of money and win nothing, you have nobody to blame but yourself. Spend no more than you are willing to lose, and stop acting like spending large amounts of money entitles you to something other than what you got. You could spend hundreds of dollars on scratch tickets from a gas station, that doesn't entitle you to the jackpot any more than spending hundreds of dollars on crates does.
I guess that's that. -
Hahaha,Its an undeniable universal truth.To increase win rate is to spend a lot of zp...
Thanks.The only logical theory that I saw here was about the rank one which could be true. One thing which has definitely changed for me is that the higher the rank I am, the more crates I have to spin to win a weapon. -
I'd like to add that I also believe that 'Time' is the MAIN factor for winning in the BM. There could be other criteria's but this one is definitely it.
I have known so many players spamming Millions of GP as well into one crate type and they don't win anything, but when they try another time or day, they end up winning almost effortlessly.
The original poster is right. If you want to improve your odds, then save up and open crates in little numbers and give intervals in-between the openings, and try different times of day/night. It's not a guarantee but you could very well surprise yourself.
In my latest winnings experience: I had saved up 594 crates from 9-11 months ago (ikr.. so much patience) and I opened like 120 crates on the 21st of September (during mid-day and mid-night) and I won 3 ZP weapons doing the above during just 12 hrs (with intervals of course).
If i had spammed all of the crates I don't think i'd have won as many weapons in the same day. I'd like to think it is no coincidence what happened in the way that I gambled, and i'd try it if you guys have had bad luck lately. -
Like nGhost said, its a complicated pattern/code. Luck can't really be generated by a machine.. We call it luck, cuz we can!
I'd +1 the rank one, but then I won 6 or 7 rare guns in on the same week we had boxing day sales while I've been max rank for over two years. -
Thanks man.I'm really glad to see that someone is agree with me. I also tried this method and i won TRG with just first 10 crates.I'd like to add that I also believe that 'Time' is the MAIN factor for winning in the BM. There could be other criteria's but this one is definitely it.
I have known so many players spamming Millions of GP as well into one crate type and they don't win anything, but when they try another time or day, they end up winning almost effortlessly.
The original poster is right. If you want to improve your odds, then save up and open crates in little numbers and give intervals in-between the openings, and try different times of day/night. It's not a guarantee but you could very well surprise yourself.
In my latest winnings experience: I had saved up 594 crates from 9-11 months ago (ikr.. so much patience) and I opened like 120 crates on the 21st of September (during mid-day and mid-night) and I won 3 ZP weapons doing the above during just 12 hrs (with intervals of course).
If i had spammed all of the crates I don't think i'd have won as many weapons in the same day. I'd like to think it is no coincidence what happened in the way that I gambled, and i'd try it if you guys have had bad luck lately.
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