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  1. #11
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    1,101

    Default

    I have a question: after the sale period, are the crates gone for good?
    Or

    Are they moved to bonus crates like the razer crates?

  2. #12
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    Mars
    Posts
    429

    Default

    very amusing!

    IGN:Px]*Reacher
    Phnix
    'ALL IS NOT WHAT SEEMS' C.Brown

  3. #13
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    In your closet.
    Posts
    1,323

    Default

    I hope win rate is high with these prices.

  4. #14
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    1,101

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by ghoster1 View Post
    I hope win rate is high with these prices.
    Yea I noticed it too, it's the most expensive crate I have ever seen and it's direct pay too.

  5. #15
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    Still far from heaven
    Posts
    846

    Default

    Those are some nice crates. But at this rate, I would need over 600 crates to win all the guns (according to someones math)

    That price though o_O
    IGN: []-SEAL-[]


  6. #16
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    Still far from heaven
    Posts
    846

    Default

    Also, link to Razer is broken.
    IGN: []-SEAL-[]


  7. #17
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    174

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by cratesrgay View Post
    How many crates on average does it take to win all 3 weapons from a 3 weapons crate?
    Since it is my day off and drooling over the wide grenade, I did a little stats calculation.

    **Tl;dr: on average, you will win 5.5 weapons from the crate in order to win all 3 weapons and get the wide grenade and ribbon.**

    Let λ be the average number of crates it takes for you to win any 1 weapon from a crate.

    1. You buy λ crates and win the first weapon.
    Total crates now = λ

    2. To ensure you dont win a repeat of your first weapon, I used Geometric distribution with p=0.667 (winning new weapon chance)
    X ∼ Geometric(0.667)
    E(X) = (1-0.667)/0.333
    = 0.5 λ
    So on average, you will win 0.5 repeat weapon before you open another λ crates to win a new one.
    Total crate now = 1 + 0.5 + 1= 1.5 λ

    3. Now you have 2 of the 3 weapons in the 3 weapons set, the chance of winning now weapon is 0.333. Repeating geometric distribution.
    Y ∼ Geometric(0.333)
    E(Y) = (1-.333)/0.333 = 2 λ
    So on average, you will win 2 repeat weapons before you win your final new weapon.
    Total crates now = 1 + 0.5 + 1 +2 + 1= 5.5 λ

    So if it takes 200 crates for you to win 1 weapon, you will need 1100 crates to get the wide grenade and ribbon. If it takes you 100 crates to win 1 weapon, you need 550 crates.
    Since the variance is quite big for λ, I am not going to carry that through the calculation :/

    And yes, I am bored.
    Dude !! OMG !!
    You made me hate them already ..
    And it's a name card not a ribbon !






  8. #18
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    39

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by ghoster1 View Post
    I hope win rate is high with these prices.
    Amen to that.
    To AK or to M4, that is the question.

  9. #19
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    http://crossfire.z8games.com/profile/6982582
    Posts
    77

    Default

    #Awesome! i need to buy ZP! Run Homerᴬˡᵃᵈᶤᶰ, run!


  10. #20
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    538

    Default


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